VG Surdin's book "Astrology and Science" convincingly shows that astrology is not a science, but a dead science, pseudoscience or pseudoscience. All three of these characteristics of astrology used in print are correct, but I prefer the latter. Moreover, astrology can be called a “reference pseudoscience”. I mean that the example of astrology clearly shows some features of pseudoscience in general.
The fact is that the conclusion about the pseudoscientific nature of certain statements is sometimes a rather difficult task and, in any case, requires caution. Indeed, what is the scientific worldview and science? The basis of the scientific worldview is as follows: when studying nature (including, of course, man), one must be based solely on experience, observations and experiments. Further, the results obtained are trying to compare, take into account all this material and build a picture of the observed or, say, understand the cause or mechanism of the discovered phenomena, find an explanation for them. So, for example, as a result of astronomical observations, the structure of the solar system was clarified. This was done in the 16th century by Copernicus, who, by the way, had ancient Greek predecessors. Copernicus's heliocentric theory (model) in a difficult struggle defeated the previously accepted geocentric model, in the center of which was the Earth.
Another example is the nature of warmth. Of course, since ancient times it has been known that when two bodies come into contact - hot and cold - the temperature is equalized due to the cooling of the hotter body. But what explains this? Even in the 18th century - on the scale of the history of civilization quite recently - the theory of caloric was widespread, according to which heat is transferred by a certain weightless liquid (caloric); the more it is, the hotter the body. Now we know well that the temperature of a body is a measure of the motion of the atoms and molecules forming the body, that is, it is not the theory of caloric content that is valid, but the so-called kinetic theory of heat. Therefore, if someone in our days tries to revive the theory of caloric, then we can say without any doubt that we are dealing with pseudoscience.
The situation is exactly the same with the law of conservation of energy. For many years, many centuries they have been trying to get energy from nothing, or at least to build a "perpetual motion machine". And the always offered "perpetual motion machines" did not work. It became clear that there is such a quantity - energy, which is conserved, that is, in fact, the law of conservation of energy was discovered. Therefore, starting from the 18th century, for example, the French Academy of Sciences stopped even considering projects of perpetual motion machines. The assumption that you can get or increase energy from nothing is pseudoscience today.
It is clear from the examples given that pseudoscientific statements and theories often turn out to be, so to speak, historical categories. Once upon a time these were hypotheses that, before their refutation, cannot be considered and called pseudoscientific. But when their injustice is reliably shown, attempts to revive these concepts, statements and theories become pseudoscientific. Thus, it is clear that something can be considered pseudoscience only if science has proven it. But it is precisely here that the main difficulty lies in the fight against pseudoscience. Its representatives and defenders are trying to question the validity of those scientific statements that they dislike. So, for example, the inventor of a new “perpetual motion machine” says: the law of conservation of energy is based on experience, the “perpetual motion machines” proposed so far have not worked, but mine does.
Here, obviously, the question arises about the existence of true knowledge. As already mentioned, the entire scientific worldview is based on the assumption that truth exists, and its receipt and verification is possible only as a result of experiments and observations. However, you can always make only a finite number of certain experiments. And at some stage, if the data of all existing experiments are identical, an appropriate conclusion is made, say, about the impossibility of creating a perpetual motion machine. This conclusion is associated with going beyond formal logic and with some intuitive judgment. This is described in more detail in a very profound book by E. L. Feinberg, and this is not the place for a discussion of this issue.
One way or another, all our science is connected with the statement about the existence of some truth, which science also obtains. The more developed the science in this area is, the more likely it is that it really got to the truth. A scientist is a person who, in particular, is familiar with the evidence of justice, the truth of certain scientific propositions. He can distinguish science from pseudoscience. Of course, in more complex cases, one expert may not be enough and expert commissions are created. However, the need for this arises very rarely when it comes to issues covered in newspapers and popular magazines (in the media). Astrology, violation of the law of conservation of energy, torsion fields, some mysterious rays unknown to science, and the like appear in these publications. Any qualified physicist can and should refute such statements. No less and even more harmful are all kinds of anti-scientific methods of treating diseases and, in general, pseudoscience in biology and medicine. Specialists should refute the corresponding nonsense.
Now I can explain once again why I called astrology above “a reference pseudoscience”. The fact is that, as is clear, in particular, from VG Surdin's book, the falsity of astrology has been proven from all, so to speak, sides: both from the standpoint of physics, and on the basis of biology data, and especially as a result of statistical studies of horoscopes. The absurdity, the absurdity of many such horoscopes should, it would seem, be obvious to any reasonable person. For example, Izvestia, an all-Russian newspaper with a huge circulation, gives astrological forecasts for every day at once for all people born under one or another zodiac sign. I am writing these lines on February 2, 2007, and I was born on October 4, “under the sign” of the constellation Libra. So, the following is recommended for me today:
“If new business partners or colleagues take on some of your responsibilities, you will feel much calmer and more confident. At the same time, you should not be afraid that you will lose some of your powers ”.
It would also be good if such advice was given to a particular businessman. The main thing, however, is not this and not the sufficient meaninglessness of the advice, but the fact that it is given to all “Libra” at once, that is, more than 500 million people! Indeed, there are over 6 billion people living on Earth now; there are 12 constellations taken into account in the forecast, and, thus, about 500 million people are on “Libra”.
So, astrology is a typical pseudoscience, and the advice of astrologers is just nonsense, nonsense. Why print such predictions and mislead people? True, one has to deal with such an opinion: of course, astrological forecasts are nonsense, but who believes them, reading them is just innocent fun. I do not agree with this opinion. Of course, literate people do not believe in horoscopes, but there are also many who believe in them. Why fool them, give them advice that can, if followed, lead to dire consequences. By the way, I saw in the newspapers and advice of astrologers to gardeners and gardeners. You can imagine what they lead to.
Above, we talked about the scientific worldview and what pseudoscience is from the standpoint of such a worldview. As you know, there is also a religious worldview underlying various religions. At the same time, theistic religions (Christianity, Islam, Judaism) are organically linked with the recognition of the existence of miracles, that is, say, phenomena that contradict scientific knowledge. This is not the place to touch on the religious worldview (I am an atheist, and my views on religion are reflected, in particular, in the articles in the book). But it should be noted that some religions (at least Christianity) have a negative attitude to astrology. This is important, because in the fight against astrology we do not come into conflict with the church.
At the same time, it should be noted that theistic religions (as opposed to deism) are incompatible with the denial of miracles. They, like astrology, are a product of ancient times. The positive that is associated with religion (some commandments, etc.) is actually completely independent of it and is, so to speak, a product of the development of human society. Therefore, everything positive retains its place within the framework of secular humanism, which replaced religion and is accepted by many, me in particular. What is secular humanism? I will confine myself to references to literary sources with which readers can familiarize myself (see article 29, written by V.A.Kuvakin and me, as well). One of the cornerstones on which secular humanism rests is the denial of miracles, the recognition of the validity of the scientific worldview.
As far as I know, serious newspapers of astrological forecasts do not print abroad. This is only the lot of the tabloid, or, as they sometimes say, the yellow press. But in Russia, astrological forecasts are now being published in newspapers that are considered serious, for example, in Izvestia. This newspaper is only a few months younger than me (I am 90 years old), and I have been reading it since my youth. In Soviet times, there were no horoscopes in the newspapers - this is one of the few examples of the posture of censorship. In modern Russia, censorship has been abolished and, at least in words, freedom of speech has been proclaimed. This is, of course, a huge achievement for democracy. But, unfortunately, positive phenomena often lead to negative consequences. So in this case: permissiveness has replaced censorship. It has become possible to print almost anything, except that pornography has not yet poured into a wide stream on the pages and screens of the media. But pseudoscientific materials are published without any restrictions. As already mentioned, the turn came to Izvestia - several years ago astrological forecasts appeared on their pages. As a long-term reader of the newspaper, this particularly touched me, and I wrote a corresponding letter to the editor-in-chief of Izvestia. Was not honored with any answer. A few years later, Izvestia had a new editor-in-chief, and I wrote to him again, but with the same result. Finally, in 2005, I learned from the newspaper that a new general director had appeared in Izvestia. I wrote to him the following letter:
From Izvestia, September 12, p. It became known that you became the General Director of Izvestia. Unfortunately, I do not know the exact functions of the General Director in Izvestia (in the scientific literature, the role of the head of the publication is played by the chief or executive editor of the publication; for example, I am the Chief Editor of the journal Uspekhi Fizicheskikh Nauk (UFN) - the most popular, judging by rating, scientific physics journal in Russia). But in this case, it seems to me, my ignorance of your functions is not important: it is clear that you largely determine the editorial policy of Izvestia.
Now, why am I writing to you - the third chapter of Izvestia in recent years. The fact is that for several years Izvestia has been placing astrological forecasts on the last page. I believe that this is completely unacceptable and puts Izvestia (one of the best and oldest Russian newspapers) in the position of a representative of the “yellow press”. This conclusion is explained by the fact that astrology at the present time is an undoubted pseudoscience and its propaganda in any form is antisocial activity.
I have already written about this in a number of articles that can be found in my book “On Science, About Me and Others” (Fizmatlit, 2003) and on the website: www.ufn.ru, section “UFN Tribune” (this is a section of the journal's website Physics ± Uspekhi, which contains articles by a number of authors not on physical topics). Con-
I would like to draw your attention to an open letter to the Editor-in-Chief of Izvestia, dedicated to the publication in Izvestia on August 18, 2003 of the article “Every district of Moscow is controlled by space” (see http://data.ufn.ru//tribune/Gin_lett. pdf ", an article by academicians E. B. Aleksandrov, V. L. Ginzburg, E. P. Kruglyakov, V. E. Fortov" Astrology has reached the law enforcement agencies "," Izvestia "No. 179 dated October 25, 2003 and an article “Four percent science” published in “Parlamentskaya Gazeta” on March 17, 2004 (http://data.ufn.ru//tribune/trib 170304.pdf "). In addition, if you would like someone I either told the editorial staff or to you personally, then I can recommend to you V.G.Surdin, a researcher at the P.K.Sternberg Astronomical Institute, Moscow State University.
Currently (and for a long time) I am in the hospital, and I cannot and do not want to spread much about astrology now. However, in order to avoid misunderstandings, I consider it expedient to explain why I am so actively fighting astrology: this is part of the fight against pseudoscience in general, which we are trying to do at the RAS, especially within the framework of the Commission to Combat Pseudoscience (the chairman of the commission is Academician Eduard Pavlovich Kruglyakov , secretary - Elena Vladimirovna Babak).
Unfortunately, astrological forecasts are published not only by Izvestia, and I know the usual motive in defense of such publications: supposedly what pseudoscience is is not clear in advance, and who proved that astrology is a pseudoscience, and in general such publications are supposedly only useful. I think this is ignorance or shameless demagoguery. To substantiate this statement, it is necessary to provide some explanations:
1. Astrology is a pseudoscience at the present time, but once, before Galileo and Kepler, it was not such, that is, the statement about its pseudoscience is, so to speak, a historical category. The same, by the way, applies to many other things, for example, to alchemy, the concept of caloric, etc. But what does this have to do with today?
2. We consider pseudoscience what is contrary to the reliable scientific knowledge of today. So, astrology is wrong, firstly, because now the forces with which the planets act on the Earth are well known, and it is clear that these forces are so small that they cannot influence the fate of people. Secondly, numerous statistical "observations" were carried out, from which it is clear that the position of the planets does not have any effect on the fate of people (for more details see the above literature and especially the article by Ye. B. Aleksandrov et al.).
3. Astrological forecasts, as you can see on Izvestia's own pages, are exceptionally meaningless and absurd. To think that such things are “innocent”, I see no reason. Most readers of this chatter, of course, do not believe, but those who do, can suffer significant damage.
Your predecessors did not deign to reply to my letters with a recommendation not to disgrace Izvestia by publishing pseudo-scientific nonsense. The only motive I know of as justifying the publication of pseudo-scientific nonsense in the newspapers is an ostensible concern to attract more readers. But serious newspapers, in contrast to tabloid ones, cannot and should not motivate their editorial policy solely by profit, moreover, I doubt that the newspaper earns a lot in this way. This is probably beneficial only to certain interested employees.
If I can be useful, I am ready to do it, and I hope that you will not follow the example of your predecessors, who did not even answer me.
Sincerely,
Nobel Prize Laureate Academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences V.L. Ginzburg
Then I sent a second letter:
General Director of Izvestia, Mr. P. Godlevsky
Dear Mr. Godlevsky!
On September 20, 2005, I sent you a letter by e-mail (it was also sent to you in the Izvestia editorial office in an envelope on September 24).
I hope to receive an answer, but, regardless of this, my letter to you will be posted on the UFN website (www.ufn.ru in the section “UFN Tribune” on October 20, 2005). We have not done this before in order to be able to place your answer there (if any).
Now I am writing to you in connection with, so to speak, "the development of events." I mean the story with Grabovoi, which in recent days has been adequately covered in Izvestia. But what is the activity of Grabovoi? This is, in fact, the same quackery and fraud as astrology, which I focused on in my previous letter.
Of course, there is a difference: experienced astrologers limit their chatter in such a way that it does not give rise to criminal prosecution. By the way, I do not believe that astrologers (and a number of other scammers) should be prosecuted until they do obvious harm. But, of course, they should not be given a platform and published their anti-scientific nonsense in the newspapers.
This example with Grabovoi clearly illustrates what has been said, and one cannot simultaneously scold Grabovoy and popularize astrology. This is what I want to draw your attention to again.
Sincerely,
Nobel Prize Laureate Academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences V.L. Ginzburg
Finally got this answer:
Dear Vitaly Lazarevich!
I share your views on astrology. I handed over all the letters to the editor-in-chief of Izvestia, Vladimir Borodin. In his opinion, astrological forecasts in the newspaper may take place.
According to the Charter of the joint-stock company “Editorial office of the newspaper“ Izvestia ”, the editor-in-chief has the right to determine the content of the newspaper himself. Thus, the creative independence of the editorial office is guaranteed.
In this regard, I cannot fulfill your request - to remove astrological forecasts from the pages of the publication.
General Director of OJSC "Editorial office of the newspaper Izvestia"
Peter Godlevsky
This is how the forecasts continue to adorn the last page of Izvestia. During this time, as reported in the press, V. Borodin was replaced as editor-in-chief of Izvestia by V. Mamontov, who obviously shares the views of V. Borodin. This does not surprise me, because I have also read a statement by the head of the Gazprom-Media organization, which owns Izvestia. The designated leader proclaims that the main thing is income, money. And how and for what they get this money, it doesn't matter. As you know, the same opinion was held by one of the Roman emperors, who said that "money does not smell." Unfortunately, this ancient maxim has become dominant in our country, especially in the media. The fact is that the abolition of censorship literally led to an outbreak, a stream of all pseudoscience, astrology in particular, in the press and on television, and wherever possible. This undoubtedly brings enormous harm to the country, and it is completely incomprehensible to me why the authorities are indifferently looking at such an outrage. There are many examples, they are given, for example, in books, and it does not seem appropriate to me to discuss them here in addition to what has already been said.
Why do our authorities even care about how to trade in the markets, but do not pay attention to the need to fight pseudoscience and its propaganda? As already mentioned, freedom of speech and the abolition of censorship is a huge achievement, but it must be protected from those who abuse this freedom.
I have lived most of my life, 70 years, under the Bolshevik-Stalinist regime. I well remember all these labels (disenfranchised, enemy of the people, rootless cosmopolitan, etc.), which were hung on the unwanted. And in no case do I propose to return to this practice. But some body should be created that openly discusses the abuse of freedom of speech and has the right to rid the population of propaganda of pseudoscience, quackery, occultism, etc. Perhaps the Public Chamber could do this.
As I already wrote in the above second letter to the general director of Izvestia, we are not talking, generally speaking, about criminal prosecution, but only about the suppression of harmful activities. And there is no reason to worry about the employment of these people. Now there is no unemployment in Russia and, on the contrary, in many areas, in particular for trading in the markets, sellers are needed. The qualifications of astrologers and their patrons, I think, are quite sufficient for trading, say, fruit or pork instead of horoscopes.
The Science and Life magazine does not print horoscopes, nor does Feng Shui forecasts. The readers of the magazine know that astrological forecasts are anti-scientific and it is absurd to follow them, because they can really do harm. As for publications in the media, it is useless to prohibit them, and only scientific knowledge serves as protection against harm.
What are the reasons for the modern popularity of astrology, which has emerged, it would seem, from complete oblivion?
What social groups are most likely to trust astrological predictions?
What is the place and connection of astrology with other types of fortune telling (palmistry, numerology, etc.) and with other pseudo-scientific studies (ufology, telepathy, etc.)?
Can the degree of passion for astrology act as a measure of the culture of a society? or is it a symbol of culture (remember how widespread astrology is in India - a country of ancient culture that is rapidly approaching the leaders of modern civilization)?
What is the relationship between astrology and religion?
What is the scale of the astrological business and how corrupt is it, that is, what is the role of the state apparatus in it?
What are the predictive capabilities of science, how real are they and what are their limitations?
Can a passion for astrology develop into a passion for science? Astrology as a pedagogical method - is it possible?
Where is the border between science and nonscience (parascience, pop science, anti-science)?
Is it justified from the point of view of public benefit to draw clear boundaries between science and "nonsciences", the struggle for the purity of science and criticism of all kinds of chimeras? or is it really, as the post-positivists say, “everything will do”?
These are not all interesting questions related to astrology. who will answer them? Wait and see...
Literature
1. Feinberg E. L. Two cultures. intuition and logic in art and science. - M .: Nauka, 1992; Fryazino: Vek-2, 2004.
2. Ginzburg V. L. About science, about oneself and about others. - 3rd ed. - M .: Fizmatlit, 2004.
3. Borzenko IM, Kuvakin VA, Kudishina AA Humanity of man. Foundations of modern humanism. - M .: Ros. humanistic society (RGO), 2005; Secular Union: Almanac. - M .: RGO, 2007, no. 6.
4. Kruglyakov EP Scientists from the big road. - M .: Nauka, 2001.
5. Kruglyakov EP Scientists from the high road -2. - M .: Nauka, 2005.
6. In defense of science. Bulletin 1. - Moscow: Nauka, 2006.
7. Common Sense: Journal. - M .: RGO, 1997-2006, No. 1-41.
Astrology is the science of how the stars and other celestial bodies affect a person's life, his character, actions and future. Researchers have established that mankind already used astrology at least five thousand years ago in the territory of Ancient Mesopotamia, but there are suggestions that astrological knowledge is much more years old. Modern scientists do not want to take the word of ancient knowledge and try to set up experiments that are designed to check whether horoscopes and other astrological predictions really work, and, finally, finally decide whether astrology is a pseudoscience or a real underestimated scientific discipline.
The most famous experiment to test astrology is the study of Michel Gauquelin, who was himself an astrologer, but after many years of practice decided to find out with the help of statistics whether astrology is really effective. To do this, he selected more than two thousand athletes from various fields of sports and conducted a study of the dependence of their achievements on the position of the planet Mars at the time of their birth. In the 1950s, he published a book in which he described his experiment and hypothesized that outstanding athletes are born more often when Mars is in one of two positions in the sky.
However, verification of the experiment by other scientists found that Gauquelin turned out to be unfair when choosing athletes and adjusted the results to fit his theory. Subsequent rechecking and new more accurate statistical analyzes showed the complete inconsistency of the hypothesis. The position of Mars in the sky in the zodiacal constellations at the time of birth does not in any way affect a person's athletic performance.
Interestingly, the defenders of astrology continue to cite Gauquelin's experiment as evidence, keeping silent about its subsequent refutation.